Marlins vs. Phillies odds, prediction: Catch the Fish

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The Miami Marlins, the only team in the major leagues this season with a positive run differential and a losing record, will have their rising star pitcher on the mound in Philadelphia on Tuesday.

Trevor Rogers has a lower ERA on the road than at home this season and overall has posted a 7-4 record with a 2.08 ERA. He has allowed just four home runs in 86 ²/₃ innings while getting 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

He will go up against Vince Velasquez of the Phillies, who is 2-2 but has a 5.18 ERA at Citizens Bank Park and a 4.74 ERA overall with 1.6 home runs and 5.2 walks per nine innings.

Miami’s bullpen is giving up the fewest home runs per nine innings in MLB over the last 30 days and the team ranks seventh in bullpen ERA this season while Philadelphia is 21st in that category.

With the Marlins holding the Phillies to three runs or fewer in five of the past six meetings and Philadelphia entering Monday having scored three runs or fewer in nine of its previous 12 games, Miami will start the series with a win.

The play: Marlins, -108.

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