Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State prediction: Ragin’ Cajuns the pick

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Texas State found itself in the news for the wrong reasons with an offseason coaching change as Danny Kasper was ousted just before the season, and the Bobcats have their hands full to begin 2021 on Friday against Louisiana-Lafayette.

The Ragin’ Cajuns finally have a reliable post presence in Theo Akwuba, who transferred from Portland during the offseason and has given Louisiana-Lafayette 11 points and 11 rebounds per game this season. His 3.6 blocks per game are tops on a team that ranks ninth in the nation in blocks per game.

Texas State counters with just one player hauling in more than 3.2 rebounds per game and has just two rotation players shooting better than 25 percent from 3-point range, which will force things inside. The Bobcats also do not look to take many outside shots, as among the 333 teams that have played another Division I foe this season, they rate 325th in the percentage of their shots that come from 3-point range.

With both teams ranking in the bottom half of DI in free throw shooting percentage, it puts a big emphasis on Ragin’ Cajuns top scorer Cedric Russell, who is making over 83 percent of his free throws while registering 19 ppg, which could prove to be the difference in both the game and spread.

The play: Louisiana-Lafayette, -5.

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