Cubs vs. Brewers prediction, line: Bats will be kept at bay


It is not often the same pitcher that leads the majors in wins also leads the league in home runs allowed, but that’s currently the case for Kyle Hendricks as he will look to reduce the deep flies while picking up a win on Monday in Milwaukee against the Brewers.

Throughout his career, Hendricks has always pitched his best at Wrigley Field in Chicago with an ERA more than a point lower at home than on the road, but this season has been different as he has a 5-1 record with a 3.58 ERA away from home as opposed to a 5-3 record with a 4.04 ERA at home and at home has allowed 12 home runs in 49 innings compared to seven home runs in 37 ²/₃ innings on the road.

The Brewers counter with Freddy Peralta, who leads qualifying starters the National League with 12.7 strikeouts per nine innings and is only surrendering 4.1 hits per nine innings. Peralta has pitched against the Cubs nine times with 4-1 record with two home runs surrender in 26 ²/₃ innings with 14.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

The Brewers offense has not had a lot of success this season with the MLB’s worst batting average entering the week while the Cubs have the second-worst batting average in the National League and are averaging 4.8 runs per game at home versus 3.8 runs per game on the road.

With Peralta entering having allowed just seven runs in his last eight starts and the Cubs backing up Hendricks with the league’s best bullpen ERA, both teams will be brewing up a bunch of scoreless innings in Milwaukee on Monday.

The Play: Cubs-Brewers total, Under 9 runs.

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